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Conflict sandbox
Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Ukraine, plus events in Russia whose conflict or dyad name names Ukraine. The interactive window starts on 24 February 2022.
These pages read public datasets. They are not a forecast, a target list, or an instruction to fight. Fatality figures are the source's own low, best, and high estimates. Injuries are not in these sources. Missing figures stay blank. ARC Warning is not an emergency service.
Window 2022-02-24 through 2026-08-31. Snapshot retrieved 2026-10-10. Days after the dataset end are not filled in.
UCDP civilian deaths and OHCHR civilian-casualty updates are different counts. OHCHR was not retrieved into this snapshot, so it is linked and not given a number here.
| Year | Low | Best | High | Civilians |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 73,205 | 100,601 | 174,016 | 19,293 |
| 2023 | 71,077 | 76,567 | 135,521 | 2,670 |
| 2024 | 80,963 | 102,137 | 127,017 | 2,626 |
| 2025 | 87,329 | 94,763 | 140,911 | 2,878 |
| 2026 | 5,542 | 5,702 | 6,521 | 380 |
Low and high are sums of UCDP’s per-event low and high. On some days those three numbers do not sort. They are still the published figures. Injured: not in this source.
Killed, best estimate 379,770
Published low, best, and high span 318,116–583,986. Civilian deaths in that best estimate: 27,847. Status unknown: 17,776. Injured: not in this source.
262,775 of the best estimate come from events UCDP did not pin to one day. They stay on the dataset’s start date for that event.
Each dot is 1,583 people. The best estimate is 379,770 people killed. The last dot may stand for fewer than the others. The dots are a scale, not portraits, and not a list of names.
About 1 in 103 of the combined 2025 population of Ukraine (38,980,376, World Bank, updated 2026-10-08). Population is a scale. It is not a casualty figure.
Ukraine, 2025 UNHCR stock: 5,224,131 refugees, 3,712,000 internally displaced. These are living people in a year-end stock. They are not added to the death count.
One-degree cells from UCDP. Country-only locations are left off. This is not a front line and not a unit position. A month appears only after 72 hours past its end. Control maps that ARC Warning cannot redistribute are linked below.
UCDP event density · 1-degree cells · through 2026-08-31 · not a front line
No monthly cells are public for this date yet. The 72-hour wait hides a month until three days after it ends.
Reported · Ukraine
12,238 vehicles and equipment, of which destroyed 9,633, damaged 711, abandoned 695, captured 1,199. Retrieved 2026-10-10.
Reported. Visually documented vehicles and equipment, not people. Oryx states that losses without photo or video evidence are absent, so the count is not a full loss total.
Oryx: Attack On Europe: Documenting Ukrainian Equipment LossesReported · Russia
24,170 vehicles and equipment, of which destroyed 19,133, damaged 1,003, abandoned 1,194, captured 2,840. Retrieved 2026-10-10.
Reported. Visually documented vehicles and equipment, not people. Oryx states that losses without photo or video evidence are absent, so the count is not a full loss total.
Oryx: Attack On Europe: Documenting Russian Equipment LossesUnit locations are omitted. Nothing on this page is a live order of battle.
Claimed by Ukraine. No casualty figure from this site is stored in the snapshot.
Claimed by Russia. No casualty figure from this site is stored in the snapshot.
This publisher draws control areas. ARC Warning does not copy those polygons. The link opens the publisher's own map.
This publisher draws control areas. ARC Warning does not copy those polygons. The link opens the publisher's own map.
Mapped events in this snapshot: 40,514. Events left off the map because the source located them only at country level: 1,548.
Humanitarian protection and assistance.
Refugees and displacement.
Situation reports from aid agencies.
Medical humanitarian work.
Annual GED release. Event dates run through the dataset's last included year.
Monthly candidate release used for 2026 events that are not in GED 26.1.
Year-end stocks of refugees, asylum seekers, and internally displaced people, by origin. Not a fatality count.
National population used only as a scale comparison.
ACLED is not connected. Set ACLED_EMAIL and ACLED_API_KEY. No ACLED figure is shown.
IISS Military Balance public summaries are not copied, because no open figure from IISS was retrieved for this snapshot. The publisher is IISS, The Military Balance.