UCDP organized-violence events in Myanmar. The window starts on 1 February 2021.
These pages read public datasets. They are not a forecast or an instruction to fight. UCDP fatality figures are that source's low, best, and high estimates. An injury count is shown when a named source publishes one, including OHCHR for Ukraine and the Gaza Ministry of Health figures cited by OCHA. A missing line means that source published no number. ARC Warning is not an emergency service.
A conflict cell is a one-degree square of events from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program. The count and the fatality figure are UCDP's, for the month on the card.
The square is the whole cell. It is not the site of one incident and it is not a front line.
Window 2021-02-01 through 2026-08-30. Snapshot retrieved 2026-10-11. Days after the dataset end are not filled in.
No ministry claim and no equipment-loss catalog are stored for Myanmar. Those absences are not zeros.
Conflict briefing
Conflict briefing
2021-02-01 through 2026-08-30
Theater totals are not the count inside one map cell. UCDP publishes a finished month, so this page is not a live feed.
9,192Events. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program events mapped in this theater. Snapshot retrieved 2026-10-11. Date: 2026-08-30.
14,024Best fatality estimate. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program best fatality estimate for this theater. Snapshot retrieved 2026-10-11. Date: 2026-08-30.
Days through 2025-12-31 are UCDP Georeferenced Event Dataset version 26.1 (https://ucdp.uu.se/downloads/ged/ged261-csv.zip), best 12,827. Days after 2025-12-31 are UCDP Candidate Events Dataset GEDEvent_v26_0_8 (https://ucdp.uu.se/downloads/candidateged/GEDEvent_v26_0_8.csv), best 1,197. A later candidate file replaces the same event id. The figure is the sum of those best estimates. Window 2021-02-01 through 2026-08-30. Low 13,475, high 37,939. All parties. Not an injury count. Snapshot retrieved 2026-10-11.
UNHCR Refugee Population Statistics year-end stock of internally displaced people originating from Myanmar for 2025. Not a fatality count. People are not added to the death toll.
UNHCR Refugee Population Statistics year-end stock of refugees originating from Myanmar for 2025. Not a fatality count. People are not added to the death toll.
Each point is UCDP’s best fatality estimate for that month in the named theater. Missing months are left out. The series is the theater, not this one cell.
Monthly figures
Myanmar 2025-03: 202. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-30.
Myanmar 2025-04: 242. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-30.
Myanmar 2025-05: 236. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-30.
Myanmar 2025-06: 110. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-30.
Myanmar 2025-07: 196. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-30.
Myanmar 2025-08: 245. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-30.
Myanmar 2025-09: 181. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-30.
Myanmar 2025-10: 200. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-30.
Myanmar 2025-11: 98. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-30.
Myanmar 2025-12: 191. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-30.
Myanmar 2026-01: 215. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-30.
Myanmar 2026-02: 137. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-30.
Myanmar 2026-03: 268. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-30.
Myanmar 2026-04: 126. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-30.
Myanmar 2026-05: 144. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-30.
Myanmar 2026-06: 104. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-30.
Myanmar 2026-07: 81. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-30.
Myanmar 2026-08: 122. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-30.
The People’s Defence Force is the name for armed units loyal to the National Unity Government. They fight the military junta and often work with ethnic armed groups.
Goals
Their claim:
The National Unity Government says the PDF is the armed force of the elected government the coup removed.
Independent assessment:
The PDF is a loose set of local units fighting the Tatmadaw, often beside older ethnic armed groups. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program
Capabilities
Small arms. The usual weapon
Improvised bombs. Used in ambushes
Drones. Small commercial drones adapted to drop bombs
Estimated personnel
No reliable public estimate
Backers
Independent assessment:
The National Unity Government claims the PDF. Ethnic armed groups fight beside some units. No single foreign patron is established here.
Advisories are country-wide; local conditions vary.
Countries this cell touches: Myanmar.
No advisory from these feeds is stored for the countries this cell touches.
Casualty trackers
Daily and monthly counts from the cited source. A year is shown only when every month in that span is in the files, and the label is the span those months cover. A recorded-deaths total that includes events outside the subject place names those places. Each figure has an as-of date. A missing day stays blank. Nothing is averaged or scaled.
ACLED is not connected. Set ACLED_EMAIL and ACLED_API_KEY. No ACLED figure is shown.
Recorded deaths on 2026-08-30
0–8
As of 2026-08-30
Uppsala Conflict Data Program: 0. As of 2026-08-30. UCDP Candidate v26.0.8 Best 0, low 0, high 8. Later dates are left blank. Snapshot retrieved 2026-10-11.
Civilians killed in August 2026
109
As of 2026-08-30
Uppsala Conflict Data Program: 109. As of 2026-08-30. UCDP Candidate v26.0.8 UCDP civilians in this theater’s event series for August 2026. Snapshot retrieved 2026-10-11.
Recorded deaths in August 2026
121–187
As of 2026-08-30
Uppsala Conflict Data Program: 122. As of 2026-08-30. UCDP Candidate v26.0.8 Sum of UCDP event days in August 2026. Days with no event are not given a share of the month. Snapshot retrieved 2026-10-11.
Recorded deaths, January–August 2026
Yearly totals in this window
UCDP fatality totals by year
Year
Low
Best
High
Civilians
2021
1,653
1,780
6,234
827
2022
2,583
2,761
11,415
1,235
2023
2,966
3,073
10,226
1,742
2024
2,800
2,896
5,209
2,417
2025
2,280
2,317
3,322
1,885
January–August 2026
1,193
1,197
1,533
804
Low and high are sums of UCDP’s per-event low and high. On some days those three numbers do not sort. They are still the published figures. Injured: not in this source. Published months run from January–August 2026. Later months are not in these files. The total is not scaled.UCDP candidate files read: v26.0.1 (GEDEvent_v26_0_1.csv), 1,727 event rows, through 2026-02-05; v26.0.2 (GEDEvent_v26_0_2.csv), 1,298 event rows, through 2026-03-11; v26.0.3 (GEDEvent_v26_0_3.csv), 1,787 event rows, through 2026-04-09; v26.0.4 (GEDEvent_v26_0_4.csv), 1,675 event rows, through 2026-05-13; v26.0.5 (GEDEvent_v26_0_5.csv), 1,686 event rows, through 2026-06-06; v26.0.6 (GEDEvent_v26_0_6.csv), 1,795 event rows, through 2026-07-08; v26.0.7 (GEDEvent_v26_0_7.csv), 1,828 event rows, through 2026-08-04; v26.0.8 (GEDEvent_v26_0_8.csv), 1,806 event rows, through 2026-09-10. ACLED has not been refreshed. No figure was added. Chart totals stay the stored snapshot. A missing count is left blank.
Killed, best estimate 14,024
Published low, best, and high span 13,475–37,939. Civilian deaths in that best estimate: 8,910. Status unknown: 1,389. Injured: not in this source.
2,493 of the best estimate come from events UCDP did not pin to one day. They stay on the dataset’s start date for that event.
The scale of the count
Each dot is 59 people. The best estimate is 14,024 people killed. The last dot may stand for fewer than the others. The dots are a scale, not portraits, and not a list of names.
About 1 in 3,911 of the combined 2025 population of Myanmar (54,850,648, World Bank, updated 2026-10-08). Population is a scale. It is not a casualty figure.
Myanmar, 2025 UNHCR stock: 1,524,378 refugees, 3,628,840 internally displaced. These are living people in a year-end stock. They are not added to the death count.
Monthly candidate releases GEDEvent_v26_0_1 through GEDEvent_v26_0_8. Each figure links to the candidate file its events came from. An event id kept from a later file replaces the same id in an earlier file.
National population used only as a scale comparison.
ACLED is not connected. Set ACLED_EMAIL and ACLED_API_KEY. No ACLED figure is shown.
IISS Military Balance public summaries are not copied, because no open figure from IISS was retrieved for this snapshot. The publisher is IISS, The Military Balance.
