Conflict briefing
2023-04-15 through 2026-08-31
Theater totals are not the count inside one map cell. UCDP publishes a finished month, so this page is not a live feed.
5,647Events. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program events mapped in this theater. Snapshot retrieved 2026-10-11. Date: 2026-08-31.
100,713Best fatality estimate. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program best fatality estimate for this theater. Snapshot retrieved 2026-10-11. Date: 2026-08-31.
Human toll
UCDP best estimate, all parties
since 15 Apr 2023
100,713
Uppsala Conflict Data Program, 2026-08-31
How this number was counted
Days through 2025-12-31 are UCDP Georeferenced Event Dataset version 26.1 (https://ucdp.uu.se/downloads/ged/ged261-csv.zip), best 96,993. Days after 2025-12-31 are UCDP Candidate Events Dataset GEDEvent_v26_0_8 (https://ucdp.uu.se/downloads/candidateged/GEDEvent_v26_0_8.csv), best 3,720. A later candidate file replaces the same event id. The figure is the sum of those best estimates. Window 2023-04-15 through 2026-08-31. Low 45,193, high 124,031. All parties. Not an injury count. Snapshot retrieved 2026-10-11.
Cite this
Stable URL: https://arcwarning.com/conflict/sudan#toll-ucdp:sudan:fatalities
APA
ARC Warning. (2026). : UCDP best estimate, all parties. https://arcwarning.com/conflict/sudan#toll-ucdp:sudan:fatalities
MLA
": UCDP best estimate, all parties." ARC Warning, 2026-08-31, https://arcwarning.com/conflict/sudan#toll-ucdp:sudan:fatalities.
Plain
: UCDP best estimate, all parties. ARC Warning. https://arcwarning.com/conflict/sudan#toll-ucdp:sudan:fatalities
Sudan: Displaced
end-2025 stock
9,139,309
Earlier readings
- 2024-12-31: 11,559,970
- 2025-12-31: 9,139,309
How this number was counted
UNHCR Refugee Population Statistics year-end stock of internally displaced people originating from Sudan for 2025. Not a fatality count. People are not added to the death toll.
Cite this
Stable URL: https://arcwarning.com/conflict/sudan#toll-unhcr:sudan:SUD:displaced
APA
ARC Warning. (2025). Sudan: Sudan: Displaced. https://arcwarning.com/conflict/sudan#toll-unhcr:sudan:SUD:displaced
MLA
"Sudan: Sudan: Displaced." ARC Warning, 2025-12-31, https://arcwarning.com/conflict/sudan#toll-unhcr:sudan:SUD:displaced.
Plain
Sudan: Sudan: Displaced. ARC Warning. https://arcwarning.com/conflict/sudan#toll-unhcr:sudan:SUD:displaced
Sudan: Refugees
end-2025 stock
2,820,737
Earlier readings
- 2024-12-31: 2,094,373
- 2025-12-31: 2,820,737
How this number was counted
UNHCR Refugee Population Statistics year-end stock of refugees originating from Sudan for 2025. Not a fatality count. People are not added to the death toll.
Cite this
Stable URL: https://arcwarning.com/conflict/sudan#toll-unhcr:sudan:SUD:refugees
APA
ARC Warning. (2025). Sudan: Sudan: Refugees. https://arcwarning.com/conflict/sudan#toll-unhcr:sudan:SUD:refugees
MLA
"Sudan: Sudan: Refugees." ARC Warning, 2025-12-31, https://arcwarning.com/conflict/sudan#toll-unhcr:sudan:SUD:refugees.
Plain
Sudan: Sudan: Refugees. ARC Warning. https://arcwarning.com/conflict/sudan#toll-unhcr:sudan:SUD:refugees
Research dataset · UCDP
Each point is UCDP’s best fatality estimate for that month in the named theater. Missing months are left out. The series is the theater, not this one cell.
Monthly figures
- Sudan 2025-03: 1,003. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-31.
- Sudan 2025-04: 3,150. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-31.
- Sudan 2025-05: 2,066. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-31.
- Sudan 2025-06: 364. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-31.
- Sudan 2025-07: 1,132. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-31.
- Sudan 2025-08: 1,053. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-31.
- Sudan 2025-09: 757. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-31.
- Sudan 2025-10: 61,369. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-31.
- Sudan 2025-11: 611. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-31.
- Sudan 2025-12: 770. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-31.
- Sudan 2026-01: 835. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-31.
- Sudan 2026-02: 325. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-31.
- Sudan 2026-03: 925. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-31.
- Sudan 2026-04: 427. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-31.
- Sudan 2026-05: 380. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-31.
- Sudan 2026-06: 242. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-31.
- Sudan 2026-07: 314. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-31.
- Sudan 2026-08: 272. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Date: 2026-08-31.
Reports in this window
VIIRS hotspot (nominal confidence)
1 source
Official
nasa-firms
nasa-firms, Oct 14 2026
VIIRS hotspot (nominal confidence)
1 source
Official
nasa-firms
nasa-firms, Oct 14 2026
VIIRS hotspot (high confidence)
1 source
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nasa-firms, Oct 14 2026
VIIRS hotspot (high confidence)
1 source
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nasa-firms
nasa-firms, Oct 14 2026
VIIRS hotspot (high confidence)
1 source
Official
nasa-firms
nasa-firms, Oct 14 2026
VIIRS hotspot (nominal confidence)
1 source
Official
nasa-firms
nasa-firms, Oct 14 2026
VIIRS hotspot (high confidence)
1 source
Official
nasa-firms
nasa-firms, Oct 14 2026
VIIRS hotspot (nominal confidence)
1 source
Official
nasa-firms
nasa-firms, Oct 14 2026
VIIRS hotspot (high confidence)
1 source
Official
nasa-firms
nasa-firms, Oct 14 2026
VIIRS hotspot (nominal confidence)
1 source
Official
nasa-firms
nasa-firms, Oct 14 2026
VIIRS hotspot (nominal confidence)
1 source
Official
nasa-firms
nasa-firms, Oct 14 2026
VIIRS hotspot (high confidence)
1 source
Official
nasa-firms
nasa-firms, Oct 14 2026
No verified media for this area yet.
Rapid Support Forces
Also called RSF.
Militia
Who they are
The Rapid Support Forces are a paramilitary group led by Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, known as Hemedti. They are at war with the Sudanese army.
Goals
The RSF says it is fighting a corrupt army and that it should share power.
The RSF grew out of the Janjaweed militias in Darfur. It is fighting the state army for control of Sudan. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program
Capabilities
- Light infantry in armed trucks. The force’s usual way of fighting
- Captured army weapons. Including heavier weapons taken since 2023
- City fighting. The RSF held large parts of Khartoum for long stretches of the war
Estimated personnel
No reliable public estimate
Backers
Independent assessment:
The UN panel on Sudan has written about outside support. This card does not copy a supplier’s troop number.
Last reviewed
Approved. Updated 2026-10-12.
Sources
Sudanese Armed Forces
Also called SAF.
State military
Who they are
The Sudanese Armed Forces are the state army. They have been fighting the Rapid Support Forces since April 2023.
Goals
The army says it is the national military and that it is fighting the Rapid Support Forces to restore the state.
The SAF is the state army. It has been at war with the RSF since April 2023. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program
Capabilities
- Air force. The army has aircraft the RSF does not
- Tanks and artillery. A mix of older Chinese and Russian equipment
- Infantry. The main force in the fight for Khartoum and the east
Estimated personnel
No reliable public estimate
Backers
Independent assessment:
Egypt is widely described as closer to the army than to the RSF. This card does not turn that into a troop number.
Last reviewed
Approved. Updated 2026-10-12.
Sources
Advisories are country-wide; local conditions vary.
Countries this cell touches: Sudan.
No advisory from these feeds is stored for the countries this cell touches.