Conflict briefing
No UCDP fatality total is stored for this theater. UCDP publishes a finished month, so this page is not a live feed.
No UCDP event total is stored for this theater.
Research dataset · UCDP
No casualty series is stored for this theater.
Reports in this window
M 4.2 - 26 km SE of Jurm, Afghanistan
1 source
Official
usgs
usgs, Oct 11 2026
M 4.1 - 29 km ESE of Jurm, Afghanistan
1 source
Official
usgs
usgs, Oct 10 2026
No verified media for this area yet.
Draft – under review
Afghan Taliban
Also called Taliban, Islamic Emirate forces.
State military
Who they are
The Afghan Taliban hold Kabul and run the armed forces and police of the administration they installed in 2021.
Goals
Their claim: The Taliban say they are the government of Afghanistan and that their forces are the state army and police.
Independent assessment: The Taliban took Kabul in August 2021 and run the administration. Many governments do not recognize them. This card treats the force that holds the capital as the state military. It does not treat the TTP as a Taliban unit.
Capabilities
- Captured Afghan army equipment. U.S. and Soviet-era weapons taken in 2021
- Light infantry. The main force
- Ministry of Interior forces. Police and security units, claimed separately from the army
Estimated personnel
No reliable public estimate
Backers
Independent assessment: No external patron is asserted. Relations with Pakistan are publicly strained over the TTP.
Last reviewed
Draft – under review. Updated 2026-10-12.
Sources
Draft – under review
Pakistan Armed Forces
Also called Pakistan Army.
State military
Who they are
The Pakistan Armed Forces are the state military. They are fighting the Pakistani Taliban along the Afghan border.
Goals
Their claim: Islamabad says the military is fighting the TTP and defending the Afghan border.
Independent assessment: The Pakistan Armed Forces are the state military. The army is the dominant service.
Capabilities
- Army. The largest service
- Air force and missiles. A nuclear-armed state
- Counterinsurgency units. Deployed against the TTP in the northwest
Estimated personnel
No reliable public estimate
Backers
Independent assessment: China is the main arms supplier. The force is a state army, not a proxy.
Last reviewed
Draft – under review. Updated 2026-10-12.
Sources
Draft – under review
Tehrik-e Taliban Pakistan
Also called TTP, Pakistani Taliban.
Non-state armed group
Who they are
The TTP is the Pakistani Taliban. It attacks Pakistani forces and civilians and uses Afghan territory as a base.
Goals
Their claim: The TTP says it is fighting the Pakistani state to impose its own rule.
Independent assessment: The TTP is a separate group from the Afghan Taliban. The State Department says it keeps a base in Afghanistan and attacks inside Pakistan. Source: Country Reports on Terrorism 2023
Capabilities
- Suicide bombs. Including the January 2023 mosque bombing in Peshawar
- Raids on army posts. Concentrated in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
- Cross-border attacks. Launched from Afghanistan into Pakistan
Estimated personnel
Between 6,000 and 6,500 fighters, with about 14,000 family members accompanying them. The family count is not part of the fighter figure. UN Monitoring Team, Jul 22 2024
As many as 6,000 fighters. State Department, 2023
Backers
Independent assessment: The Afghan Taliban are not treated here as the TTP’s commanders. Relations between them are disputed in public.
Last reviewed
Draft – under review. Updated 2026-10-12.
Sources
Advisories are country-wide; local conditions vary.
Countries this cell touches: Pakistan, Afghanistan.
No advisory from these feeds is stored for the countries this cell touches.